Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 41.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 29.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.