Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.