Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.