Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
53.77% ( -0.4) | 23.32% ( 0.19) | 22.91% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.39% ( -0.6) | 45.61% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.06% ( -0.57) | 67.93% ( 0.57) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% ( -0.36) | 16.89% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.07% ( -0.64) | 46.93% ( 0.64) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( -0.14) | 34.02% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% ( -0.15) | 70.7% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Livingston | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |