Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.