Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.