Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
60.33% ( -2.5) | 22.24% ( 0.79) | 17.43% ( 1.71) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% ( -0.4) | 48.26% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( -0.37) | 70.41% ( 0.36) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( -0.94) | 15.57% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% ( -1.78) | 44.52% ( 1.78) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.73% ( 1.93) | 41.27% ( -1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.2% ( 1.67) | 77.79% ( -1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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