MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 20:11:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Casa Pia

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Pantalon (52')
Patrick (27'), Freire (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martins (17')
Neto (29'), Varela (57'), Clayton (75'), Clayton (75+75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Casa Pia

While Casa Pia will be looking to find their feet, they have struggled for results on the road, where they are without a win in the league this year. Rio Ave have been impressive on home turf in recent weeks and we are backing them to return to winning ways in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
40.94% (0.247 0.25) 27.12% (0.012 0.01) 31.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)55.43% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)76.62% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.076999999999998 0.08)26.62% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.103 0.1)61.86% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.241 -0.24)32.11% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.273 -0.27)68.59% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 40.93%
    Casa Pia 31.95%
    Draw 27.12%
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.93%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

Rio Ave
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Casa Pia
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Braga33215771492268
4Porto32206660263466
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!