Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.94% ( 0.25) | 27.12% ( 0.01) | 31.95% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.57% ( -0.12) | 55.43% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.38% ( -0.1) | 76.62% ( 0.09) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( 0.08) | 26.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( 0.1) | 61.86% ( -0.1) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.24) | 32.11% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.27) | 68.59% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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