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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Gil Vicente logo

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Ronaldo (15'), Costinha (45+3')
Samaris (31'), Patrick (66'), Luiz (81'), Vitor (90+5'), Pantalon (90+7')
Oudrhiri (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ronaldo (61' og.)
Carvalho (17'), Aburjania (84'), Carlos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente have put together a fine run of form since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. However, Rio Ave have won their last two home matches and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. With that said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and hold out for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawGil Vicente
44.35% (0.944 0.94) 26.24% (-0.19 -0.19) 29.41% (-0.755 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (0.428 0.43)52.89% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (0.363 0.36)74.5% (-0.364 -0.36)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (0.651 0.65)23.74% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.927 0.93)57.87% (-0.927 -0.93)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.334 -0.33)32.62% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.374 -0.37)69.17% (0.37299999999999 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 44.34%
    Gil Vicente 29.41%
    Draw 26.23%
Rio AveDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente

Rio Ave
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Gil Vicente
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
Gil Vicente
2-2
Rio Ave
Navarro (80'), Costa (90+5')
Rodrigues (45+4'), Yakubu (71')
Yakubu (21')
Apr 3, 2021 6pm
Rio Ave
0-2
Gil Vicente

Augusto (6'), Geraldes (34')
Augusto (74')
Talocha (76' pen.), Lino (90+6')
Nogueira (38'), Lourency (57'), Silva (60')
Nov 29, 2020 3pm
Jul 5, 2020 5pm
Gil Vicente
1-0
Rio Ave
Sam (39')
Banguera (2'), Fernandes (28'), Lima (80')
Fernandes (54')

Amaral (38'), Augusto (83')
Dec 9, 2019 8.15pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Gil Vicente
Taremi (61' pen.)
Borevkovic (13'), Reis (54'), Taremi (86')
Taremi (87')

Baraye (30'), Fonseca (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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