Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
21.06% ( 0.03) | 22.82% ( 0) | 56.12% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% ( 0.03) | 45.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% ( 0.03) | 67.9% ( -0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.26% ( 0.05) | 35.73% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.49% ( 0.05) | 72.51% ( -0.05) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( -0) | 16.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( -0) | 45.42% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |