Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.88% ( 0.32) | 26.25% ( 0.15) | 43.87% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.28% ( -0.45) | 52.72% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% ( -0.38) | 74.36% ( 0.38) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( 0) | 32.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% | 68.68% ( 0) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.42) | 23.9% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% ( -0.6) | 58.1% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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