Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
41.42% ( -0.07) | 25.05% ( -0.02) | 33.54% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( 0.11) | 46.37% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( 0.11) | 68.65% ( -0.11) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.02) | 22.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.03) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( 0.11) | 26.59% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.19% ( 0.14) | 61.81% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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