Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.61%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
80.96% ( 0.28) | 12.71% ( -0.2) | 6.33% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.39% ( 0.72) | 34.61% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.44% ( 0.8) | 56.56% ( -0.8) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% ( 0.21) | 6.56% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.56% ( 0.56) | 24.44% ( -0.55) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.45% ( 0.3) | 52.55% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.64% ( 0.2) | 86.36% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.12% Total : 80.95% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 12.71% | 0-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 6.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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