Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
50.71% ( 0.05) | 26.11% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( 0.1) | 56.43% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( 0.08) | 77.44% ( -0.08) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.06) | 22.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.09) | 55.8% ( -0.09) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% ( 0.04) | 39.8% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% ( 0.03) | 76.46% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |