Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Vizela |
41.61% ( 0.1) | 26.51% ( 0.11) | 31.89% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 51.67% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.96% ( -0.48) | 53.05% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.37% ( -0.41) | 74.63% ( 0.42) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( -0.16) | 25.18% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% ( -0.23) | 59.9% ( 0.23) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.39) | 30.94% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.45) | 67.24% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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