Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
43.51% ( -0.3) | 26.85% ( -0.07) | 29.63% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( 0.4) | 55.18% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( 0.33) | 76.42% ( -0.33) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( 0.03) | 25.16% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( 0.04) | 59.88% ( -0.05) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( 0.48) | 33.65% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( 0.52) | 70.3% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |