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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Wolves logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Wolves

Diaby (36'), Konsa (65')
Tielemans (30'), Duran (84'), Digne (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sarabia (19'), Chirewa (81'), Kilman (84'), Gomes (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa strengthen hold of fourth spot in Premier League with 2-0 win over Wolves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
65.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 15.97% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5% (0.037000000000006 0.04)33.5% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.71% (0.039000000000001 0.04)55.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.012999999999991 0.01)9.57% (-0.0080999999999989 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.01% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.69% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 65.6%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97%
    Draw 18.43%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.6%
1-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Wolves

Aston Villa
66.7%
Draw
17.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
16.3%
135
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Wolves
1-1
Aston Villa
Hee-chan (53')
Dawson (28'), Lemina (62'), Semedo (67'), Kalajdzic (90+14')
Lemina (90+4')
Torres (55')
Kamara (6'), McGinn (29')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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