Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
65.6% ( 0) | 18.43% ( -0) | 15.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.5% ( 0.04) | 33.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.71% ( 0.04) | 55.3% ( -0.03) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.43% ( 0.01) | 9.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.97% ( 0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.02) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% ( 0.03) | 34.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% ( 0.03) | 70.69% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4.62% Total : 65.6% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 15.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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