Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax0 - 0Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa hold Dutch giants Ajax to a goalless draw in the Europa Conference League, with both sides having men sent off in the closing stages of the last-16 clash.
Team News
Tim Iroegbunam is named in the Aston Villa XI for the first leg of their Europa Conference League last-16 tie at Ajax on Thursday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Ajax and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.35% ( 0.04) | 23.39% ( 0) | 34.26% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.23% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.64% ( -0.02) | 38.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.36% ( -0.02) | 60.65% ( 0.02) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% ( 0.01) | 18.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% ( 0.02) | 49.77% ( -0.02) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.61% ( -0.03) | 22.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.1% ( -0.05) | 55.9% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 42.35%
Aston Villa 34.26%
Draw 23.39%
Ajax | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.26% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Aston Villa
Ajax
23.0%Draw
18.3%Aston Villa
58.7%252
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-02 18:29:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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