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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 0
Ballymena

Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullough (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
69.07% (-0.646 -0.65) 19.17% (0.369 0.37) 11.75% (0.274 0.27)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.892 -0.89)46.75% (0.892 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (-0.841 -0.84)69.01% (0.84 0.84)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.42% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)38.33% (0.927 0.93)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)48.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.36% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)83.64% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 69.07%
    Ballymena United 11.75%
    Draw 19.17%
CrusadersDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.164 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.17%
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.28% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 11.75%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Ballymena
1-2
Crusaders
Strain (90+7')
McGuigan (31'), Whiteside (79')
Coates (60')
Lecky (16'), O'Rourke (29')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-1
Ballymena
Nelson (80')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Crusaders
3-0
Ballymena
Lowry (29'), O'Rourke (33'), Forsythe (82')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crusaders
2-1
Ballymena
Lowry (9'), McMurray (65')
Forsythe (36')
Strain (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LarneLarne531185216490
2LinfieldLinfield514082404285
3CliftonvilleCliftonville512280433775
4CrusadersCrusaders530261431864
5GlentoranGlentoran511374433160
6ColeraineColeraine51224769-2246
Relegation Round
1Carrick RangersCarrick54015472-1850
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon55006469-547
3Loughgall52036068-845
4GlenavonGlenavon51044570-2537
5Ballymena UnitedBallymena53022970-4128
6Newry City AFC50052699-7317
 
Regular Season
1LarneLarne33248169175280
2LinfieldLinfield33253576354178
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33224773304370
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick33115174365-2238
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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