Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.