National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Thames Road
Concord Rangers2 - 1Hemel Hempstead
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Hemel Hempstead Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Concord Rangers | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
34.66% ( -0.66) | 25.42% ( -0.13) | 39.92% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( 0.46) | 47.79% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% ( 0.42) | 69.97% ( -0.42) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.17) | 26.59% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.19% ( -0.23) | 61.81% ( 0.22) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( 0.61) | 23.69% ( -0.61) |