Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.