Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.