Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.