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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Jasson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New York City FC

While the Union have been rather inconsistent since the beginning of June, we believe they will sort things out and find their form like we have seen them do many times in the past. Bakrar should help New York in front of the goal when he arrives, but they will need more than one new face to turn around their road woes this season.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
66.29% (0.557 0.56) 20.5% (-0.278 -0.28) 13.21% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.528 0.53)48.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.475 0.48)71.03% (-0.479 -0.48)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.337 0.34)13.91% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.66% (0.662 0.66)41.34% (-0.665 -0.66)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (-0.116 -0.12)47.51% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (-0.09 -0.09)82.87% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 66.27%
    New York City FC 13.21%
    Draw 20.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.17% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.27%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
0.0%
14
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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