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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Orlando City
0 - 1
Cincinnati


Araujo (21'), Jansson (64'), Murphy (65'), Halliday (90')
Schlegel (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (9')
Halsey (55'), Cartagena (62'), Halliday (70'), Valenzuela (83+1')
Halsey (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 FC Cincinnati

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture, and we expect another drab affair this weekend. That said, we can also see the home side coming out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
47.78% (-1.087 -1.09) 24.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28.12% (1.033 1.03)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.657 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.488 0.49)44.56% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (0.47300000000001 0.47)66.93% (-0.476 -0.48)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)18.77% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.409 -0.41)50.18% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (1.015 1.02)29.26% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (1.231 1.23)65.22% (-1.233 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 47.78%
    FC Cincinnati 28.12%
    Draw 24.1%
Orlando CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.188 0.19)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.154 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Cincinnati

Orlando City
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
FC Cincinnati
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Acosta (44'), Boupendza (90+4')
Torres (44')
Santos (13'), Dan Thor­halls­son (41'), Araujo (55'), Gallese (90+11'), Urso (90+5')
Cartagena (90+5')
Jun 25, 2022 12.30am
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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