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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Orlando City

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Orlando City

Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City

 There is no doubt that Cincinnati are vastly improved, although they continue to struggle at home, winning only twice at TQL Stadium in 2022. Orlando have shown that they can be potent in the attacking third once in a while, but we have not seen enough consistency in that department to believe they will manage to shut down a dynamic attacking team in Cincy for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
38.91% (1.808 1.81) 26.66% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.43% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 51.85% (1.024 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (1.362 1.36)53.11% (-1.357 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (1.145 1.15)74.69% (-1.142 -1.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (1.683 1.68)26.65% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (2.171 2.17)61.89% (-2.169 -2.17)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.229 -0.23)29.3% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.28 -0.28)65.27% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38.9%
    Orlando City 34.43%
    Draw 26.65%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.583 -0.58)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Orlando City

FC Cincinnati
27.3%
Draw
33.3%
Orlando City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Cincinnati
Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Orlando City

Bailey (80'), Cameron (86')
Urso (13')
Carlos (66'), Perea (74')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
Orlando City
Brenner (42')
Matarrita (53')
Nani (56')
Schlegel (68'), Mueller (77'), Dezart (84')
May 2, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Cincinnati
Akindele (1'), Nani (19'), Urso (80')
Mendez (26'), Mueller (62')

Stanko (78')
Aug 2, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
Orlando City
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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