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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 at 12.20am UK
Nippert Stadium
New England Revolution

Cincinnati
2 - 3
New England

Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-3 New England Revolution

Both of these teams like to play a wide-open style of football while being quick in transition, so there should be many glorious scoring chances on either end, with each possessing more than enough quality to bury those opportunities. The Revs should have a slight edge because their midfielders are more multi-faceted, plus New England have experienced a lot more of these close, high-scoring games and usually find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for New England Revolution in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
38% (-0.759 -0.76) 23.93% (-0.422 -0.42) 38.07% (1.174 1.17)
Both teams to score 61.76% (1.626 1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (2.096 2.1)40.49% (-2.104 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (2.121 2.12)62.86% (-2.129 -2.13)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.547 0.55)21.42% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.84 0.84)54.43% (-0.848 -0.85)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.528 1.53)21.39% (-1.537 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (2.311 2.31)54.38% (-2.318 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38%
    New England Revolution 38.07%
    Draw 23.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.575 -0.58)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.195 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.354 -0.35)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.251 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.245 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.167 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.148 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.07%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs New England

FC Cincinnati
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
New England Revolution
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 1am
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
Buchanan (7'), Boateng (21'), Buksa (33', 61')
McNamara (68'), Buchanan (73'), Farrell (86')
Brenner (54')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Cincinnati
0-1
New England

Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
Jul 21, 2019 11pm
Cincinnati
0-2
New England

Cruz (54')
Gil (9'), Delamea Mlinar (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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