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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Toronto FC

Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto

Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-2 Toronto

 For whatever reason, Cincinnati seem to struggle at home and are not quite as sharp on the ball over 90 minutes. Although Toronto have struggled on the road, we expect Bradley and his young team to make the proper tactical adjustments in this one as they have done an excellent job at learning from past mistakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
40.64%24.92%34.44%
Both teams to score 57.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41%45.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09%67.91%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.85%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.64%
    Toronto 34.44%
    Draw 24.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.44%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Toronto

FC Cincinnati
39.0%
Draw
17.1%
Toronto
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Toronto
1-2
Cincinnati
Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Brenner (39'), Medunjanin (58')
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')

Morrow (37')
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati

Bradley (33')
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
Kubo (38'), Matarrita (62'), Cruz (78')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Toronto

Gutman (66'), Hagglund (67')
Mullins (29')
Gonzalez (9'), Osorio (21'), Ciman (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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