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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12am UK
BMO Field
Chicago Fire

Toronto
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kerr (13'), Pozuelo (71' pen., 78')
Pozuelo (31'), Westberg (87'), Priso-Mbongue (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Teran (52'), Przybylko (66')
Przybylko (62'), Shaqiri (75'), Teran (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2- 1 Chicago Fire

 Mistakes have plagued both of these teams so far this season, but Toronto have shown a lot more fight than Chicago over their slump, while they seem to have more chemistry than the Fire, which we believe will be enough to earn them their first victory since April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
46.48% (-0.107 -0.11) 25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.52% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (0.067 0.07)48.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (0.061 0.06)70.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.81% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.47% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.136 0.14)67.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.47%
    Chicago Fire 28.52%
    Draw 25%
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.52%

How you voted: Toronto vs Chicago Fire

Toronto
69.2%
Draw
19.2%
Chicago Fire
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Toronto
3-1
Chicago Fire
Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
Beric (16')
Offor (87')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Toronto
Medran (77')
Pineda (70')
Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Chicago Fire
P-P
Toronto
Jun 18, 2020 1am
Toronto
P-P
Chicago Fire
Sep 29, 2019 10pm
Chicago Fire
2-2
Toronto
Katai (68'), Herbers (77')
Gaitan (85')
Altidore (59'), Gonzalez (80')
Delgado (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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