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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 13, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
FC Cincinnati

Orlando City
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Urso (42')
Jansson (58'), Urso (73'), Carlos (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vazquez (13', 53')
Vazquez (37'), Blackett (61'), Kubo (63'), Kann (90+2')

Preview: Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Orlando City's two clean sheets from their first two games have helped them remain unbeaten so far, picking up four points from a possible six, placing them fourth in the table.

This weekend, they welcome fellow Eastern Conference outfit FC Cincinnati to the Exploria Stadium in Florida, with the visitors going in search of their first points of the campaign.


Match preview

Orlando City SC defender Robin Jansson (6) and Antônio Carlos (25) celebrate as forward Benji Michel (19) (not pictured) scores a goal during the second half at Orlando City Stadium on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Oscar Pareja's side secured a comfortable 2-0 win on the opening day, and they would have been thankful to keep another clean sheet last time out as that earned them a point away at Chicago Fire.

On Saturday, Orlando were limited to few chances and they could not manage a single shot on target, while their hosts made goalkeeper Pedro Gallese work, suggesting that it was a positive goalless draw for Orlando.

Being back on home soil this weekend, Pareja will be confident that his side can continue their unbeaten start to this season, and start to build momentum, especially with another win on their own patch.

From the current top seven in the Eastern division, Orlando's two goals is the lowest tally, suggesting that they will have to be more free flowing in the attacking third if their challenge at the top of the table is to be maintained.

In contrast, Cincinnati need to find a way to start picking up points to avoid being left behind at the bottom of the table, having lost both of their opening two matches.

Pat Noonan's side made a slight improvement last time out as they were only defeated 1-0 by DC United, which followed a 5-0 thrashing by Austin the week before.

Cincinnati would have been extremely disappointed to have come away from last weekend without a point to show for their efforts, having conceded a 98th-minute penalty against a side which had already been reduced to 10 players due to a red card in the 80th minute.

Sunday's visitors will be looking for their first goal of the campaign and they are expected to create enough chances to get on the scoresheet, Cincinnati just need to be more clinical in front of goal, after failing to score from six shots on target last time out.

Orlando are expected to put Cincinnati under pressure from the first whistle as Pareja adopts a high-pressing style with his side, but Cincinnati will also not be afraid to step up into their hosts' half to press them as well.

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D

FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L



Team News

Orlando City defender Robin Jansson (6) leaves the field after receiving a red card in the second half during a match against CF Montréal at Orlando City Stadium on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Orlando centre-back Robin Jansson was replaced by Rodrigo Schlegel last time out, after the former was sent off on the opening day, but Jansson could return to the side after serving his one-match suspension for a double yellow card.

The only other change last weekend was Junior Urso coming into midfield in place of Andres Perea, but the latter is likely to return to the starting 11 on Sunday.

Alexandre Pato is expected to continue to lead the line for the hosts, with Benji Michel and Facundo Torres providing the attacking width in the 4-2-3-1 formation.

Dominique Badji made his first start of the season for Cincinnati last time out, as he came into the lineup to partner Brandon Vazquez up front, and the attacking pair are likely to start again this weekend.

There are no new injury or suspension concerns for Noonan to be concerned with, and he could name the same side which just missed out on a point against DC United, after they showed improvements from the opening day defeat.

The central midfield trio including Yuya Kubo, Junior Moreno and Luciano Acosta is likely to remain the same, while a back three could include Nick Hagglund, Geoff Cameron and Tyler Blackett.

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Moutinho, Jansson, Carlos, Ruan; Perea, Araujo; Michel, Pereira, Torres; Pato

FC Cincinnati possible starting lineup:
Kann; Blackett, Cameron, Hagglund; Gaddis, Moreno, Kubo, Powell; Acosta; Badji, Vazquez


SM words green background

We say: Orlando City 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Cincinnati showed more promise in their latest performance, meaning that they have more chance of getting on the scoresheet this weekend if they can lift themselves from the disappointment of conceding so late on last weekend.

However, Orlando have started the season strongly and are strong favourites to take three points from this encounter, and they should be able to outscore their visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.


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New York City forward Talles Magno (43), center, is congratulated after scoring his second goal of the game in the second half against Santos de Guapiles at Banc of California Stadium on February 24, 2022
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
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5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
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12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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