Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
47.65% ( -1.91) | 23.47% ( 0.54) | 28.88% ( 1.38) |
Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.83% ( -1.55) | 41.17% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -1.6) | 63.57% ( 1.6) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% ( -1.3) | 17.51% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.98% ( -2.32) | 48.02% ( 2.32) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.16) | 27% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 0.2) | 62.36% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |