Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw has a probability of 16.3% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.28%) and 0-3 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-0 (3.23%).
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Porto |
9.83% ( 0.21) | 16.28% ( 0.21) | 73.89% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% ( -0.32) | 39.08% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.6% ( -0.34) | 61.4% ( 0.34) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.83% ( 0.2) | 47.17% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.38% ( 0.15) | 82.62% ( -0.15) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.9% ( -0.17) | 9.1% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.09% ( -0.42) | 30.91% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 9.83% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.28% | 0-2 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 9.85% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 5.9% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.87% Total : 73.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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