Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
68.89% ( -0.42) | 18.72% ( 0.22) | 12.39% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( -0.49) | 43.2% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( -0.49) | 65.6% ( 0.49) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% ( -0.25) | 11.45% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.75% ( -0.55) | 36.26% ( 0.55) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.77% ( 0.02) | 45.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.88% ( 0.01) | 81.12% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.59% Total : 68.89% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.72% | 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |