Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
11.08% ( 0.01) | 18.35% ( 0.01) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( -0.02) | 44.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( -0.02) | 67.29% ( 0.02) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.38% ( 0) | 48.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.32% ( 0) | 83.68% ( -0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.51% ( -0.01) | 11.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.66% ( -0.02) | 36.34% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.08% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.35% | 0-2 @ 13.07% 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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