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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Porto

Portimonense
0 - 3
Porto


Costa (13'), Carrillo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (7'), Galeno (59'), Pepe (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-3 Porto

With plenty of renewed confidence in their camp following the recent beating of Benfica, and the chance to narrow the gap to the top two, Porto should have far too much for the struggling hosts, and we see them putting up another dominant victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
11.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 18.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 70.57% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 11.08%
    Porto 70.56%
    Draw 18.35%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.08%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.35%
0-2 @ 13.07%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.56%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
13.5%
Draw
16.2%
Porto
70.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Evanilson (9')
Carmo (16'), Varela (32'), Gonzalez (81')
Carmo (83')

Victor Tornich (60'), Guga (65'), Relvas (69'), Dener (77'), Amorim (87'), Carlinhos (90+1'), Sergio (90+6')
Apr 2, 2023 8.30pm
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Porto
Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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