MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 16:02:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Burnley logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Liverpool logo
Luton Town
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Sheffield United logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Newcastle logo

Burnley
vs.
Newcastle

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Burnley and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 36.16% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Burnley win is 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.43%).

Result
BurnleyDrawNewcastle United
36.16% (0.716 0.72) 23.4% (0.192 0.19) 40.44% (-0.90799999999999 -0.91)
Both teams to score 63.62% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.97% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)38.03% (0.837 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71% (-0.895 -0.9)60.29% (0.895 0.89)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.25% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)54.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.746 -0.75)19.22% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-1.248 -1.25)50.92% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 36.16%
    Newcastle United 40.44%
    Draw 23.4%
BurnleyDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 40.44%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Newcastle
2-0
Burnley
Almiron (14'), Isak (76' pen.)
Gordon (17')

Amdouni (29'), Beyer (40'), Taylor (53')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Cornet (69')
Tarkowski (65')
Wilson (20' pen., 60')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Newcastle
1-0
Burnley
Wilson (40')
Manquillo (87')

Collins (75')
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
0-0
Burnley
(Aggregate 0-0 | Burnley win 4-3 on penalties)
Collins (79'), McNeil (80')
Apr 11, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Vydra (18')
Brownhill (69')
Murphy (59'), Saint-Maximin (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!