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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Defensive deficiency has been the order of the day for both teams of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we just about back Minnesota United to make home advantage count and come away with maximum points in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.89% (-1.173 -1.17) 20.89% (0.242 0.24) 21.22% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 60.88% (0.655 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.181 0.18)36.54% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.196 0.2)58.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.27 -0.27)12.47% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.576 -0.58)38.44% (0.581 0.58)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.965 0.97)30.45% (-0.961 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (1.133 1.13)66.66% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 57.89%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%
    Draw 20.89%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
May 19, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
LA Galaxy
3-3
Minnesota Utd
Lletget (45+2'), Hernandez (52', 75')
Araujo (41')
Hunou (24'), Lod (35'), Araujo (62' og.)
Dibassy (2'), Reynoso (73')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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