Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
65.13% ( -0.03) | 18.7% ( 0.02) | 16.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.12% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.59% ( -0.09) | 34.41% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.67% ( -0.11) | 56.33% ( 0.1) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.06% ( -0.04) | 9.94% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.12% ( -0.08) | 32.88% ( 0.08) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% ( -0.05) | 34.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0.05) | 71.05% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.13% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |