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Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Minnesota United

Los Angeles
5 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Bouanga (6', 36', 45+1'), Tapias (46' og.), Krastev (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dotson (4')
Reynoso (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Salt Lake
Monday, October 2 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Minnesota United

Los Angeles have failed to score in each of their last four matches, but we can see them finding the back of the net against a Minnesota side who have not kept a clean sheet in their last six outings. We are also tipping the home side to carry the day come the sound of the final whistle.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawMinnesota United
65.13% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 18.7% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 16.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)34.41% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.67% (-0.105 -0.11)56.33% (0.103 0.1)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)9.94% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.12% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)32.88% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)34.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)71.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.13%
    Minnesota United 16.17%
    Draw 18.7%
Los Angeles FCDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.13%
1-1 @ 8.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 16.17%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Minnesota Utd

Los Angeles FC
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Minnesota United
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2021 1am
Jul 29, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 19
Los Angeles
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Vela (40'), Blackmon (77')
Reynoso (49'), Dotson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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