Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Clermont in this match.