Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Reims1 - 2Marseille
We said: Reims 1-1 Marseille
Although Marseille have won each of their last seven away league matches, Tudor's men could struggle to extend their winning streak against Reims, who have claimed seven victories in their previous eight home games. With that in mind, we expect Reims and Marseille to play out a low-scoring draw at the Stade Auguste-Delaune, with the Red and Whites continuing their phenomenal unbeaten run under Will Still. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Reims had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Reims win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Marseille |
26.48% ( 0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 46.78% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
