Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Reims |
28.16% ( 0) | 27.59% ( -0.02) | 44.25% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.72% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( 0.07) | 58.53% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( 0.05) | 79.1% ( -0.05) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% ( 0.04) | 36.59% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% ( 0.04) | 73.37% ( -0.04) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( 0.04) | 26.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% ( 0.05) | 61.44% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |