Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Toulouse |
45.85% ( -0.67) | 24.03% ( 0.16) | 30.11% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 59.04% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( -0.48) | 43.07% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( -0.48) | 65.47% ( 0.48) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( -0.47) | 18.97% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.49% ( -0.78) | 50.5% ( 0.78) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( 0.09) | 27.13% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% ( 0.12) | 62.52% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |