Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
28.46% ( -0.11) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 45.25% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( -0.1) | 53.54% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% ( -0.09) | 75.05% ( 0.08) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% ( -0.14) | 33.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( -0.15) | 70.33% ( 0.15) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.41% | 23.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.34% ( 0.01) | 57.65% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.46% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |