Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.