Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.