Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 15, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Azul
Cruz Azul4 - 0Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Toluca |
| 55.32% | 24.49% | 20.2% |
| Both teams to score 47.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
