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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Monday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Portland are currently experiencing a fine run of form, and after beating San Jose on home turf in July, we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim maximum points in Wednesday's contest.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
61.46% (-0.104 -0.1) 20.71% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 17.83% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.118 -0.12)40.94% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.121 -0.12)63.33% (0.119 0.12)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)12.84% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (-0.137 -0.14)39.18% (0.134 0.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-0.012 -0.01)36.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 61.46%
    San Jose Earthquakes 17.83%
    Draw 20.71%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 61.46%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Portland
Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')
Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')
Jul 24, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')
May 19, 2022 3.30am
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Gameweek 42
Portland
2-0
Earthquakes
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')
Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 23
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
Lopez (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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