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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Orlando City

Campana (57')
Campana (16'), Cremaschi (75'), Fray (89'), McVey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kara (19'), Ojeda (68'), Santos (86')
Carlos (23'), Cartagena (36'), Angulo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City

Just one point separates Inter Miami and Orlando in the MLS table, indicating they are very evenly-matches sides, but we expect the hosts to emerge with a narrow victory. The Herons have won their last three games at the DRV PNK Stadium, the most recent of which coming against a very strong New England Revolution side, so they should have enough about them to take all three points on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
45.24% (1.467 1.47) 25.13% (-0.199 -0.2) 29.63% (-1.264 -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (0.282 0.28)48.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.258 0.26)70.37% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.79000000000001 0.79)21.33% (-0.785 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.204 1.2)54.29% (-1.198 -1.2)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)30.06% (0.734 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.888 -0.89)66.19% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.24%
    Orlando City 29.63%
    Draw 25.12%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-1
Orlando City
Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
Kara (71')
Carlos (59')
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 27
Orlando City
0-0
Inter Miami

Jansson (51')

Pizarro (63'), Makoun (85')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
gameweek 22
Orlando City
1-1
Inter Miami
Carlos (45+1')
Urso (56'), Rosell (85')
Gibbs (66')
Pizarro (68')
Jun 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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