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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Porto

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Porto

Luciano (90+4')
Toure (52'), Pinto (75'), Luciano (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evanilson (55')
Mario (45+10'), Evanilson (45'), Conceicao (45'), Varela (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Gil Vicente 1-3 Porto

While Gil Vicente will be looking to pick up where they left off against Estoril, they face a bogey Porto side whom they have failed to get the better of in 18 of their last 20 meetings. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two teams, we are backing the visitors to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
21.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.82% (0.0010000000000012 0) 56.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.94% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.032000000000004 0.03)45.57% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.045000000000002 0.05)35.73% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.51% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)45.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 21.07%
    Porto 56.11%
    Draw 22.81%
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.75%
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.01%
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 56.11%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Porto

Gil Vicente
16.0%
Draw
4.0%
Porto
80.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
2-1
Gil Vicente
Jaime (8'), Eustaquio (90+1')
Conceicao (84'), Wendell (89')
Depu (37')
Carvalho Neto (14'), Gbane (69'), Correia (77')
Feb 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Porto
1-2
Gil Vicente
Taremi (4')
Navarro (27'), Costa (45+2' pen.)
Dec 21, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Porto
2-0
Gil Vicente
Galeno (3'), Taremi (68')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Gil Vicente
0-2
Porto

Carvalho (71')
Taremi (41'), Galeno (44')
Feb 27, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
1-1
Gil Vicente
Evanilson (66')
Mbemba (81'), Cardoso (90+8')
Navarro (62')
Fernandes (68')
Carvalho (2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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