Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Diosgyor would win this match.